Experts warn of China-America chip war: “It will last for decades”, and the problem is this other country

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Published On: August 19, 2024 at 8:50 AM
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The semiconductor chip war between China and the United States has become a focal point of global technology discussion, and analysts expect the confrontation to stretch as long as the latter half of this current century. Peter Wennink, former chief executive of ASML, Europe’s largest technology company and a significant tech titan in the global chip industry, has expressed his worries regarding the increasing ideological context of this conflict and its consequences.

Such is the case of the current tensions where the Netherlands is also involved as a third player, making an already complex situation even more complicated.

Ideological motivations are driving the chip war rather than practical considerations

Wennink states that the fight raises many issues since it lacks substance, and some decisions are made on ideological grounds and not based on factual details. This ideological way of thinking about the semiconductor industry causes problems for companies that must understand how global business and technology work.

The ex-ASML CEO believes this ideological war may last for decades, which calls for more pragmatic and evidence-based methods of handling disputes, as seen in the semiconductor industry. This ideological conflict transcends corporate activities, influencing research and development initiatives, cooperation with other countries, and advancement of semiconductor technology.

With such aggressive jostling between companies and governments over ownership of the most advanced chip manufacturing processes, the industry could soon become splintered, and this might slow down the further development and deployment of superior chipsets for consumers around the globe.

ASML’s crucial role places it in the center of the growing conflict between China and America

Being a prominent provider of cutting-edge chip manufacturing equipment, ASML has faced quite a dilemma with the growing conflict between China and America. It has also witnessed rising limitations on its high-tech exports to China since 2018 despite China being its second-largest market next to Taiwan.

During Wennink’s time as the CEO, he strived to work for the interest of the company’s customers, suppliers, employees, and shareholders. This balancing act becomes even more complicated in environments where geopolitical tensions continue escalating and pressure such firms as ASML to work according to rules and establish cooperation under distinctly internationally restrictive circumstances.

The Netherlands’ role in the semiconductor dispute could shape global trade policies for years

The factor which complicates the situation is the participation of the Netherlands in this conflict. Thus, the country seems to be at the epicenter of the China-US chip war thanks to the presence of Dutch semiconductor manufacturing equipment maker ASML. The Dutch government has balanced between the two as the United States seeks to limit the export of sophisticated chips and other manufacturing equipment to its rival China.

At the same time, China needs the latter to have access to the most sophisticated tools to make its chips. It positions the Netherlands in a rather uncomfortable spot, where its economic, political, and relationships with partners and the international semiconductor supply chain.

The given findings suggest that the current Dutch government policies on export controls and technology transfers are bound to shape the future course of the semiconductor industry and global trade relations in the foreseeable future.

Global market impacts and future conflicts predicted by ASML’s former CEO

In conclusion, the battle of semiconductor chips between China and the United States mirrors the words of the former ASML CEO Peter Wennink, who pointed to future conflicts with significant impacts on the global market. Thus, the conflict will have an ideological slant, with semiconductor technology strategically important, making it a tight and highly volatile scenario for companies and countries.

As the Netherlands continues to debate its role in this conflict, strategic actors of the semiconductor industry will decide its trajectory for technological advancement and its relation to the geopolitical landscape. The current state of chip manufacturing and international relations affairs represents an essential lesson for the global community.

It once again proves that leaving technology, politics, and trade balances aside does not lead to the successful resolution of conflicts in the modern world of high-tech industries.